‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: War on Iran Squeezes India's Kitchen Fuel Stock.
The ripple effects of a conflict being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now reaching India's households.
As aerial attacks on Iran hinder energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, supplies of kitchen fuel are dwindling across India, pushing restaurants to shorten food lists, shorten hours and in some cases close completely.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing queues outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian urban and rural areas as anxieties over fuel supplies grow. Restaurant kitchens appear the worst hit: the biggest crunch is in food service establishments.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply is unavailable," says a representative of the National Restaurant Association of India.
Most food outlets run either on business-grade gas tanks or direct gas lines, and the scarcities are now being felt across the country. "Many restaurants have shut down - some in northern India, many in the south. People are switching to solid fuels and induction stoves to keep their operations going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, media reports say up to a fifth of hospitality businesses are already completely or partially closed as business fuel stocks tighten. In the southern cities of Bengaluru and Chennai, some establishments say their fuel reserves have depleted with scarce alternatives. "Coffee is the sole item we can prepare and nothing else - it is extremely difficult. Businesses are going to suffer," says a chain proprietor in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are scrambling to adapt. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are skipping midday meals and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that closures are varying as supplies wax and wane. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers observe a increase in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are running out of them.
Authority's View
Yet, the officials insists there is no shortage.
India has more than 30 crore household consumers and spokespersons say supplies are being prioritized to households as conflict-related stress from the Middle East conflict affect energy markets.
About 60% of India's LPG is sourced from abroad, and about the vast majority of those imports pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now largely blocked by the conflict.
The petroleum ministry says that it instructed refineries to maximise LPG output for home needs, lifting domestic production by about 25%. Business-grade fuel is being prioritised for essential sectors such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Some panic booking and hoarding has been sparked by misinformation. The standard supply timeline for domestic LPG remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Growing Panic
Now the worry is moving beyond kitchens. On social media, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a long, snaking queue of scooters outside a petrol pump. "Anxiety is palpable," the description reads.
According to reports from market experts, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be exaggerated.
India imports 90% of its oil. Around a significant portion of its oil purchases - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from regional suppliers.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are blocked, the gap could be partly made up by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on maritime intelligence and expert analysis, increased Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, lessening India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The primary concern is kitchen fuel, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly 1 million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the chokepoint.
Refineries can adjust processes to produce a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only increase domestic supply to about 47-50% of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.
In short: "Crude supply risk can be somewhat alleviated through varied suppliers. Processed petroleum stocks remains fairly adequate. Kitchen fuel stocks is the critical issue to track in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the anxiety on the ground is not just scarcity but uneven distribution - and the usual problem of stockpiling.
An industry representative claims opportunistic profiteering.
"Suppliers are taking advantage of the situation - selling fuel on the black market and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and sold at a premium."
For now, India's oil supplies may be cushioned by international market dynamics. But in restaurants across the country, the more urgent issue is simple: how to get the next refill.